Gold export volumes dip as Middle East conflict disrupts shipments

by Business Post

Ghana’s gold export volumes declined marginally in the first half of 2026 as shipment disruptions linked to the Middle East conflict affected the country’s key gold export value chain.

Despite the slight decline in volumes, gold export earnings increased sharply, driven by a significant rise in international gold prices.

Data from the Bank of Ghana and the World Bank show that the value of Ghana’s gold exports rose by 49 percent to US$12.50 billion in the first half of 2026, compared with US$8.39 billion during the same period in 2025.

The strong growth in export earnings was largely driven by a 49.7 percent increase in the average realised gold price to US$4,463.80 per fine ounce.

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However, gold export volumes remained broadly flat at 2.80 million fine ounces, representing a marginal 0.5 percent decline from the 2.81 million fine ounces recorded in the first half of 2025.

The Bank of Ghana attributed the decline largely to shipment disruptions following the onset of the Middle East conflict.

The development highlights the growing exposure of Ghana’s most important export commodity to geopolitical disruptions, particularly along international trade and refining routes.

The World Bank has also pointed to the impact of the tensions on Ghana’s gold export logistics.

According to the Bank, Ghana was compelled to reroute some gold shipments through Shanghai and India after disruptions affected its traditional refining and export route through the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

“Ghana’s gold refining routes through the United Arab Emirates were disrupted, requiring costly rerouting to Shanghai and India and adding logistical delays to a key export value chain,” the World Bank noted.

The disruptions added costs and delays to an export sector that has become increasingly important to Ghana’s foreign exchange earnings and external sector stability.

Gold remains one of the country’s biggest sources of foreign exchange, and the sharp increase in its export value helped support Ghana’s trade balance during the first half of the year despite the logistical challenges.

Recent trade statistics from the Ghana Statistical Service show that the UAE remains a major destination for Ghana’s gold exports, underlining the importance of the route to the country’s export value chain.

The disruption has, however, raised concerns about the resilience of Ghana’s gold export infrastructure and the concentration of its refining and trading routes.

With geopolitical tensions continuing to affect trade routes in the Middle East, industry observers are likely to focus increasingly on whether Ghana can develop more diversified and resilient export channels to reduce its exposure to disruptions in a single region.

The strong rise in gold prices has, for now, more than offset the marginal decline in export volumes. However, the shipment disruptions demonstrate how logistical and geopolitical risks could affect export performance even when global commodity prices remain favourable.

It is not immediately clear whether new measures have been introduced to establish alternative gold refining and export routes that could reduce costs and make Ghana’s gold trade less vulnerable to future disruptions.

Source: businesspostonline

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